Forecasting Analyst — Test Workflow¶
Description: Validate artifact against standards
When to Use¶
Use the test workflow when you need to validate artifact against standards.
Input Requirements¶
- Historical time-series datasets with temporal granularity specifications
- Exogenous variable catalogs and feature engineering requirements
- Forecast horizon definitions and business planning cycle alignment
- Stationarity test results and seasonality decomposition outputs
Process¶
- Initialize — Set up the test context for Forecasting Analyst
- Execute — Perform the test operation following Forecasting Analyst's style
- Validate — Check output against quality gates
- Handoff — Deliver results to downstream personas
Output¶
- Trained forecasting models with configuration and transformation documentation
- Backtesting reports with walk-forward validation metrics (MAPE, RMSE, MAE)
- Forecast outputs with point predictions and confidence intervals
- Residual diagnostics and model assumption validation reports
Quality Gates¶
- Backtesting must be performed with walk-forward or expanding window validation
- Confidence intervals must be provided for all point forecasts
- Stationarity must be tested and transformations documented before modeling
- Forecast horizon must not exceed validated predictive range